"superforecaster" meaning in English

{
  "etymology_templates": [
    {
      "args": {
        "1": "en",
        "2": "super",
        "3": "forecaster"
      },
      "expansion": "super + forecaster",
      "name": "compound"
    }
  ],
  "etymology_text": "From super + forecaster.",
  "forms": [
    {
      "form": "superforecasters",
      "tags": [
        "plural"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "head_templates": [
    {
      "args": {},
      "expansion": "superforecaster (plural superforecasters)",
      "name": "en-noun"
    }
  ],
  "lang": "English",
  "lang_code": "en",
  "pos": "noun",
  "senses": [
    {
      "categories": [
        {
          "kind": "other",
          "name": "English entries with incorrect language header",
          "parents": [
            "Entries with incorrect language header",
            "Entry maintenance"
          ],
          "source": "w"
        },
        {
          "kind": "other",
          "name": "Pages with 1 entry",
          "parents": [],
          "source": "w"
        },
        {
          "kind": "other",
          "name": "Pages with entries",
          "parents": [],
          "source": "w"
        }
      ],
      "examples": [
        {
          "ref": "2015, Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, →ISBN, page 205:",
          "text": "On average, when a forecaster did well enough in year 1 to become a superforecaster, and was put on a superforecaster team in year 2, that person became 50% more accurate.",
          "type": "quote"
        },
        {
          "ref": "2018, Steve Fuller, Post-Truth: Knowledge As A Power Game, →ISBN:",
          "text": "An important lesson taught by the gaming approach to warfare is that the superforecaster must be always open to 'unknown unknowns', to use the decision-theoretic jargon popularized by US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld during the Iraq war.",
          "type": "quote"
        },
        {
          "ref": "2018, Torleif Halkjelsvik, Magne Jørgensen, Time Predictions: Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life, →ISBN, page 51:",
          "text": "The superforecasters turned out to outperform the other contestants by a substantial margin in the second and third years of the tournament, that is, they were not just lucky.",
          "type": "quote"
        }
      ],
      "glosses": [
        "One who consistently makes predictions at significantly better than chance accuracy."
      ],
      "id": "en-superforecaster-en-noun-D4XWFmNr",
      "wikipedia": [
        "superforecaster"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "word": "superforecaster"
}

{
  "etymology_templates": [
    {
      "args": {
        "1": "en",
        "2": "super",
        "3": "forecaster"
      },
      "expansion": "super + forecaster",
      "name": "compound"
    }
  ],
  "etymology_text": "From super + forecaster.",
  "forms": [
    {
      "form": "superforecasters",
      "tags": [
        "plural"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "head_templates": [
    {
      "args": {},
      "expansion": "superforecaster (plural superforecasters)",
      "name": "en-noun"
    }
  ],
  "lang": "English",
  "lang_code": "en",
  "pos": "noun",
  "senses": [
    {
      "categories": [
        "English compound terms",
        "English countable nouns",
        "English entries with incorrect language header",
        "English lemmas",
        "English nouns",
        "English terms with quotations",
        "Pages with 1 entry",
        "Pages with entries"
      ],
      "examples": [
        {
          "ref": "2015, Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, →ISBN, page 205:",
          "text": "On average, when a forecaster did well enough in year 1 to become a superforecaster, and was put on a superforecaster team in year 2, that person became 50% more accurate.",
          "type": "quote"
        },
        {
          "ref": "2018, Steve Fuller, Post-Truth: Knowledge As A Power Game, →ISBN:",
          "text": "An important lesson taught by the gaming approach to warfare is that the superforecaster must be always open to 'unknown unknowns', to use the decision-theoretic jargon popularized by US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld during the Iraq war.",
          "type": "quote"
        },
        {
          "ref": "2018, Torleif Halkjelsvik, Magne Jørgensen, Time Predictions: Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life, →ISBN, page 51:",
          "text": "The superforecasters turned out to outperform the other contestants by a substantial margin in the second and third years of the tournament, that is, they were not just lucky.",
          "type": "quote"
        }
      ],
      "glosses": [
        "One who consistently makes predictions at significantly better than chance accuracy."
      ],
      "wikipedia": [
        "superforecaster"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "word": "superforecaster"
}