"superforecaster" meaning in English

See superforecaster in All languages combined, or Wiktionary

Noun

Forms: superforecasters [plural]
Etymology: From super + forecaster. Etymology templates: {{compound|en|super|forecaster}} super + forecaster Head templates: {{en-noun}} superforecaster (plural superforecasters)
  1. One who consistently makes predictions at significantly better than chance accuracy. Wikipedia link: superforecaster
    Sense id: en-superforecaster-en-noun-D4XWFmNr Categories (other): English entries with incorrect language header, Pages with 1 entry

Inflected forms

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        {
          "ref": "2015, Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, →ISBN, page 205:",
          "text": "On average, when a forecaster did well enough in year 1 to become a superforecaster, and was put on a superforecaster team in year 2, that person became 50% more accurate.",
          "type": "quote"
        },
        {
          "ref": "2018, Steve Fuller, Post-Truth: Knowledge As A Power Game, →ISBN:",
          "text": "An important lesson taught by the gaming approach to warfare is that the superforecaster must be always open to 'unknown unknowns', to use the decision-theoretic jargon popularized by US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld during the Iraq war.",
          "type": "quote"
        },
        {
          "ref": "2018, Torleif Halkjelsvik, Magne Jørgensen, Time Predictions: Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life, →ISBN, page 51:",
          "text": "The superforecasters turned out to outperform the other contestants by a substantial margin in the second and third years of the tournament, that is, they were not just lucky.",
          "type": "quote"
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        "One who consistently makes predictions at significantly better than chance accuracy."
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      "wikipedia": [
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This page is a part of the kaikki.org machine-readable English dictionary. This dictionary is based on structured data extracted on 2024-09-22 from the enwiktionary dump dated 2024-09-20 using wiktextract (af5c55c and 66545a6). The data shown on this site has been post-processed and various details (e.g., extra categories) removed, some information disambiguated, and additional data merged from other sources. See the raw data download page for the unprocessed wiktextract data.

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